Following my humiliating 12th-place finish in 2000, I resolved to go into the 2001 draft with a plan. The crux of my plan was "draft young". As I thought about it more, I ended up with the following bullet points:
- Try not to draft anyone over age 32.
- Unless they're a superstar or there's some other reason to believe they won't decline this year.
- If possible, in the first round draft Greg Maddux, Mike Mussina or Tom Glavine (in that order of preference). Since Randy Johnson, Pedro Martinez and Kevin Brown were kept by other teams, these were the remaining top starting pitchers.
- Try to get a solid starter at every hitting position. Don't fill up my team with aging outfielders.
- Draft a few valuable prospects in the late rounds.
- Don't worry much about relief pitching.
How did my strategy work? Well, see for yourself:
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Round/Pick |
Age |
Comments |
C |
Bobby Estalella |
SF |
5/69 |
26 |
C |
Jason LaRue |
Cin |
15/221 |
27 |
1B |
Mike Sweeney |
KC |
2/28 |
27 |
1B |
David Ortiz |
Min |
9/127 |
25 |
2B |
Edgardo Alfonzo |
NYM |
Keeper |
27 |
2B |
Luis Rivas |
Min |
12/183 |
21 |
SS |
Christian Guzman |
Min |
7/95 |
23 |
2B/SS/3B |
Placido Polanco |
StL |
11/159 |
25 |
3B |
Mike Lowell |
Flo |
4/60 |
27 |
3B/OF |
Albert Pujols |
StL |
16/242 |
21 |
OF |
Peter Bergeron |
Mon |
Keeper |
23 |
OF |
Trot Nixon |
Bos |
Keeper |
27 |
OF |
Mike Cameron |
Sea |
Keeper |
28 |
OF |
Tim Salmon |
Ana |
3/37 |
32 |
OF |
Mark Kotsay |
SD |
8/118 |
25 |
2B |
Marcus Giles |
Atl |
13/192 |
23 |
Reserve |
|
SP |
Barry Zito |
Oak |
Keeper |
23 |
SP |
Jim Parque |
ChW |
Keeper |
26 |
SP |
Glendon Rusch |
NYM |
Keeper |
26 |
SP |
Tom Glavine |
Atl |
1/5 |
35 |
SP |
Hideo Nomo |
Bos |
6/86 |
32 |
SP |
Andy Benes |
StL |
10/150 |
33 |
RP |
Kelly Wunsch |
ChW |
Keeper |
28 |
RP |
Paul Shuey |
Cle |
Suppl |
30 |
RP |
Rod Beck |
Bos |
Suppl |
32 |
RP |
Bob Wells |
Min |
Suppl |
34 |
SP |
Matt Kinney |
Min |
14/214 |
24 |
Reserve |
SP |
Sun-Woo Kim |
Bos |
17/244 |
23 |
Reserve |
I'm pretty happy with the results, even though I lost my chance at Todd Hundley and Rich Aurilia when I thought I'd get one of them. (I'd just drafted Mike Lowell and thought it likely I'd have a shot at one of the two others.)
As you can see, only six players are in their 30s, and five of them are pitchers. My pitching staff is arguably my weak link, as a lot is riding on good seasons from Rusch and Zito, but I think that's a pretty decent bet. My offense seems reasonably potent, and is more likely to outperform expectations than underperform them (injuries notwithstanding).
I'm especially happy with the pickups of Marcus Giles and Albert Pujols, who both seem like good bets to have successful careers, possibly even this year. (As I write this, Pujols is off to a hot start, and has hit well enough the first week to not be sent down when Bobby Bonilla came off the DL.)
But, it's a long season and there are plenty of other good teams out there, so we'll see...
Results
Reading the above is rather funny, now that the season is over. While Pujols and Cameron had break-out years, we know now that Salmon, Rusch and Benes imploded, Alfonzo and Parque got hurt, Bergeron disappointed again, and Estalella mysteriously got ditched by the Giants and was never given a shot by anyone else.
My offense ended up being pretty good - sixth-best in the league. Led by Pujols and Sweeney, it held together most of the year. I added Fernando Vina on a waiver-wire pickup, and traded Alfonzo (before his injury) for Chuck Finley (who melted down after I acquired him). Zito and Glavine struggled in the first half before posting good second-half numbers, and I added Jason Marquis and Ruben Quevedo to augment them.
But it was too little, too late as I had the second-worst pitching staff in the league and finished 13th overall - one spot worse than last year. (Subrata evened things out for beating me last year by finishing dead last.)
Lessons to learn for next season? Don't squander valuable keeper years on guys like Jim Parque and Kelly Wunsch (I could have kept Jose Cruz, Jr. instead). Figure out how to evaluate pitching properly in our scoring system. For a start.
hits since 9 April 2001.
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